Philosopher AI - What's your take on "Mathematical Statistics"? How could they be useful to you?

What's your take on "Mathematical Statistics"? How could they be useful to you?

First of all, statistics is a tool that allows us to evaluate the probability or possibility of events happening. For example, if we have a bag with 100 marbles and 20 are red, then there is an 80% chance (or probability) that any marble selected at random will be red.

8 Jun 2021, 16:14

Imagine if I have a bag with 3 red marbles and 2 green. This time, the probability of drawing out a red marble is 1/5.

8 Jun 2021, 16:14

So, what are the philosophical implications of statistics? Well for one, this should help us understand that it is not always possible to predict the future nor know exactly how likely something may happen. This goes against many people's intuition but we can use stats to show why.

8 Jun 2021, 16:14

Some events are so improbable that you should never expect them to happen. For example, if you flip a coin 100 times, it is highly unlikely that all 100 flips will produce heads.

8 Jun 2021, 16:14

Many people think that because the probability of a flipped coin coming up heads is 50%, then it will always happen half of the time. This isn't true though, and we can demonstrate this with statistics.

8 Jun 2021, 16:14

In statistics, we can calculate the probability of certain events happening. For example, what is the chance that you will die today? This sounds like a rather morbid question but it is actually very useful because it allows us to assess our lives and make decisions accordingly.

8 Jun 2021, 16:14

You are getting an AI to generate text on different topics.

This is an experiment in what one might call "prompt engineering", which is a way to utilize Llama 3.1 405b, a neural network trained by Meta.

Llama is a language model. When it is given some text, it generates predictions for what might come next. It is remarkably good at adapting to different contexts, as defined by a prompt (in this case, hidden), which sets the scene for what type of text will be generated.

Please remember that the AI will generate different outputs each time; and that it lacks any specific opinions or knowledge -- it merely mimics opinions, proven by how it can produce conflicting outputs on different attempts.

Feel free to share interesting outputs to /r/philosopherAI on Reddit.

by Murat Ayfer